Few earnings seasons are awaited with such trepidation as the one for the June 2008 quarter. With the markets in turmoil, the Street is looking to India Inc to bail it out.
Last Friday's tumble on Wall Street, with the Dow Jones index falling nearly 400 points, is sure to have its repercussions on the already shaky Indian market. With both the benchmark indices, the Bombay Stock Exchange Sensex and the National Stock Exchange Nifty having lost 5 per cent apiece last week, investors are already skittish.
It's a difficult time for banks both at home and abroad. But Sanjay Nayar, Chief Executive Officer, Citi India, shrugs off Citigroup's problems in the US saying they haven't really impacted the Indian operations. Nayar admits there have been a few problems with the consumer finance business but tells Business Standard that Citi's India operations are well-positioned to see double digit growth over the next few years.
The auto maker is on a rough road with demand for both CVs and cars sluggish. With sales of commercial vehicles having barely grown and passenger car volumes dipping in FY08, the street was not expecting much from India's biggest automobile company.
Organised retailers in India today are caught in a bit of a bind: on the one hand, they're raring to roll out new stores so that they can grab space and market share. But, on the other, lease rentals are prohibitive and footfalls don't seem to be getting converted into the kind of buying many thought they would. It's not easy anymore.
Last November, he said he wanted SBI's balance sheet to grow from $150 billion (Rs 600,000 crore), at the time, to $250 billion (Rs 10,00,000 crore), in the next couple of years. By the end of the March 2008, SBI had already hit a balance sheet size of Rs 720,000 crore, which meant it had clocked a brisk 28 per cent growth in FY08. But, in the meanwhile the environment too has deteriorated.
The United Progressive Alliance government has made it clear to states that it will not permit them any relaxation in labour laws in special economic zones, petrochemical hubs and industrial parks such as easing norms for hiring and firing and employment of women and restricting union activity, among others. Over the last two weeks, at least three state governments have seen their proposals for relaxing labour laws in duty-free areas being rejected by the Centre.
Even at a slight premium, Bharti should buy into MTN since there are synergies.
The move comes even as Bank of India on Wednesday said its corporate clients will suffer mark-to-market losses of around Rs 125 crore. It has 34 clients with 74 derivative transactions. Last week, State Bank of India said its clients may incur MTM losses of up to Rs 700 crore at the end of March 2008.
With little clarity on the list of companies that have mark-to-market losses on derivatives transactions, banks are now asking their corporate banking departments to scan the books of borrowers and also seek details of their foreign exchange exposure. Within this pie, banks are segregating companies with turnover of Rs 30-40 crore (Rs 300-400 million) to Rs 100 crore (Rs 1 billion) and those which are above this threshold.
There may not be any legal obstacles to the State Bank of Saurashtra's merger with the State Bank of India but it is the United Progressive Alliance's political compulsions that are holding back the deal, which is expected to pave the way for merger of the other six SBI associates with the parent. In response to the law ministry's objections, the RBI has told the government that the Centre could go ahead with the merger without any immediate legal glitches.
Private sector market leader ICICI Prudential has reported just a 20 per cent rise in new retail business weighted premiums during March, 2008, and a 40 per cent rise for the quarter ended March 2008. That has dragged down ICICI Prudential's growth for 2007-08 to below 70 per cent. The average for the first 11 months was 80 per cent.
A host of public sector banks had cut interest rates in the earlier part of this year following an advisory from Finance Minister P Chidambaram in January. Private and smaller state-owned banks, however, did not cut rates.
Three years after IDBI became a bank, Yogesh Agarwal, bank's third chairman and managing director in as many years, is trying to put the pieces in place. After all, as he pointed out in an interview with Business Standard, the erstwhile development financial institution is grappling with a unique situation, where IDBI and the two commercial banks it acquired since 2005 offer loans at different interest rates.
Lenders ask RBI to ensure cheaper credit for infrastructure sector. Banks say while hardening of rates may be required to combat inflation, even a 50 basis point rise could render many projects unviable. In a meeting with RBI, bankers factored in the impact of higher interest rates on most sectors as a part of the inflation management drive but indicated that the government & the central bank should take steps to ensure cheaper credit for building roads, power plants & ports.
Sabare International, a Karur-based home furnishings company, has taken ICICI Bank to court over a foreign exchange derivative contract. The company has requested the Karur civil court to declare the contract void. This is the second company to have gone into a legal dispute with ICICI Bank after the Chennai-based Sundaram Multi Pap, which had alleged "mis-selling of certain foreign exchange derivative contracts for speculative purposes".
It is a real life story. A story of an insurer that has managed to hold on to its lead in the marketplace for seven years.
What could compound the problem is that many of these firms do not account for the debt. In other words, they are not providing for the borrowings on an annual basis over the life of the instrument. According to a study by a leading brokerage, accounting for the loan and the interest would, on an average, knock off at least 12 per cent of the profits in FY09 and about 10 per cent in FY10.
Nilesh Shah aired his views on the sub-prime crises, after effects of the Budget and FIIs. He thinks Brazil is the best bet amongst upcoming markets due to its natural resources.
The magazine hopes to ramp up its advertising and circulation figures in the country.
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